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2024-12-13 04:39:21

So in my last post, I emphasized that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 points and 200 points, and fell below 3150 points. But I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".Secondly, the change from "prudent" to "moderately loose" in previous years is a major change in the caliber of monetary policy. Moderate easing was last proposed in 2010, and our caliber in the past 14 years has been consistent and steady. No matter how radical the interest rate cuts and RRR cuts are, no matter how loose they look from the behavior, they just don't let go. This is the first change in 14 years, with emphasis on the first time.


First of all, the word "positive" in previous years was changed to "more positive". The last time this statement was put forward was in 2020, and everyone knew what happened at that time. This time, I am more active and spend money in the market.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been watching it know that I am pessimistic.


On the contrary, if it is good, once it breaks through the resistance range of 3440-3490, large funds will rush to escape as at the end of September and quickly attack 3500-3700.In my opinion, if the meeting on the next 11-12 days falls short of expectations (in fact, it is enough), it will falsely pull down the index, then generally fall, fall to around 3330, and then draw 3350, and at the end of the month, it will reach around 3230 on the May line;When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.

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